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汉堡

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很高风险
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城市区域安全
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汉堡: 83

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有来源的研究估算;本地覆盖不完整,部分维度沿用更广地理范围的基线。

城市研究估算为 83/100;模型尺度上分数越高越安全。 证据日期: · 置信度: C

地图覆盖什么?

研究估算:区域仅调整有当地证据的一个维度,其他维度沿用城市或国家基线。 空白处缺少区域证据,不代表安全。

99 个已映射区域 ·

下载图层与计算证据(GeoJSON)

边界数据: Freie und Hansestadt Hamburg, Landesbetrieb Geoinformation und Vermessung (LGV) · Hamburg ALKIS Stadtteile (Datenlizenz Deutschland Namensnennung 2.0)

选择住宿前

  1. 在地图找到住宿候选,确认该区域是否有证据。
  2. 阅读区域差异来自什么。城市分数和区域估算回答的问题不同。
  3. 另外核查最新当地提示与交通。这些估算不能评估某家酒店、某条街道或特定时段。

城市整体证据

人身暴力
91/100
财产与诈骗
62/100
交通与出行
90/100
医疗与救援
94/100
冲突与稳定
89/100
灾害与环境
60/100
基础设施响应
93/100

城市估算不能评估某条街道、某家酒店或特定时段。

来源与限制(原文)

Compare Hamburg areas using official recorded-theft evidence, with broader travel-safety context and source details.

2025 theft cases, PKS ******, pages 161–164. 80,456 assigned cases; 2,739 Hamburg location unknown and 320 other location unknown excluded from local rates. City total 83,515 retained separately. The population source combines four pairs of districts: their geometries and theft totals are merged before rate calculation. Neuwerk has no denominator in the selected population table and is omitted, not scored as safe. 99 statistical areas cover 103 of 104 Stadtteile. Population is registered population on 2025-12-31. Geometry retrieved 2026-10-27, simplified with topology preserved and area drift below 0.5%; source atlas map images are not copied. The citywide score uses Germany national priors. Local recorded-theft rates adjust only the property dimension. Resident-based rates can be elevated in visitor and commuter districts; they are not per-visitor probabilities.

2025 theft cases, PKS ******, pages 161–164. 80,456 assigned cases; 2,739 Hamburg location unknown and 320 other location unknown excluded from local rates. City total 83,515 retained separately. The population source combines four pairs of districts: their geometries and theft totals are merged before rate calculation. Neuwerk has no denominator in the selected population table and is omitted, not scored as safe. 99 statistical areas cover 103 of 104 Stadtteile. Population is registered population on 2025-12-31. Geometry retrieved 2026-10-27, simplified with topology preserved and area drift below 0.5%; source atlas map images are not copied. The citywide score uses Germany national priors. Local recorded-theft rates adjust only the property dimension. Resident-based rates can be elevated in visitor and commuter districts; they are not per-visitor probabilities.

2025 theft cases, PKS ******, pages 161–164. 80,456 assigned cases; 2,739 Hamburg location unknown and 320 other location unknown excluded from local rates. City total 83,515 retained separately.

The population source combines four pairs of districts: their geometries and theft totals are merged before rate calculation. Neuwerk has no denominator in the selected population table and is omitted, not scored as safe.

99 statistical areas cover 103 of 104 Stadtteile. Population is registered population on 2025-12-31.

Geometry retrieved 2026-10-27, simplified with topology preserved and area drift below 0.5%; source atlas map images are not copied.

The citywide score uses Germany national priors. Local recorded-theft rates adjust only the property dimension.

Resident-based rates can be elevated in visitor and commuter districts; they are not per-visitor probabilities.

  • European Commission JRC and INFORM partners · Germany INFORM Mid-2026 component priors

    Natural=4; current conflict intensity=1.1; infrastructure=0.7; access to health care=0.6. Each published 0–10 component is multiplied by ten for the existing research risk scale.; Country humanitarian-risk components are weak priors, not measured Hamburg street or individual tourist risks.; European Union, CC BY 4.0; component extraction and research transformation by Safrom.

  • UNODC via UN Statistics Division · Germany homicide 2023 and theft 2022, UN Statistical Yearbook

    Homicide: 0.9 per 100,000 (2023); theft: 1,241.4 per 100,000 (2022). Country observations, not Hamburg rates.; Property prior uses the same 2022 UN theft series against France (2,011.4), anchored at the existing France research risk 45: 45 + bounded(10 × log2(rate/reference), ±20). This is an explicit weak model calibration, not an official score.; Recording definitions and reporting propensity differ between countries. This country comparison does not create locally observed risks; geographic-fit confidence is 0.2.

  • European Commission, CARE and national sources · Germany road deaths, 2025 preliminary

    34 deaths per million residents, equivalent to 3.4 per 100,000. Preliminary full-year estimate published 2026-03-24; not Hamburg traffic exposure.; European Union, CC BY 4.0; unit conversion and research transformation by Safrom.

  • Polizei Hamburg · Hamburg recorded theft by Stadtteil, 2025

    2025 theft cases, PKS ******, pages 161–164. 80,456 assigned cases; 2,739 Hamburg location unknown and 320 other location unknown excluded from local rates. City total 83,515 retained separately.; The population source combines four pairs of districts: their geometries and theft totals are merged before rate calculation. Neuwerk has no denominator in the selected population table and is omitted, not scored as safe.; 99 statistical areas cover 103 of 104 Stadtteile. Population is registered population on 2025-12-31.; Geometry retrieved 2026-10-27, simplified with topology preserved and area drift below 0.5%; source atlas map images are not copied.; CC0, Freie und Hansestadt Hamburg. License: https://suche.transparenz.hamburg.de/dataset/veroeffentlichung-stadtteilatlas-der-polizeilichen-kriminalstatistik-2025-hamburgs

  • Statistikamt Nord · Hamburg Stadtteil population, 2025

    Datenlizenz Deutschland Namensnennung 2.0; Statistikamt Nord, 2025. https://suche.transparenz.hamburg.de/dataset/hamburger-stadtteil-profile-berichtsjahr-2025 . Raw population retained; derived theft rates by Safrom.

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