A low-confidence first reference using Indonesia-level structural indicators with official natural-disaster guidance anchored to environmental risk.
Safrom's citywide research estimate is 60/100. Higher scores mean safer on the model's scale. Evidence as of . Confidence: D.
What does this area's map cover?
6 areas with estimates. Area evidence as of .
Area evidence and limitations
Overall-only public-alpha estimate. Within-Jakarta variation uses BPS-Statistics DKI Jakarta Province Table 3.2 reported-crime totals and official rates per 100,000 population for 2024. Safrom applies empirical-Bayes shrinkage toward Jakarta's six-area aggregate before converting the log-rate pattern into conservative differences anchored to Jakarta's global city score. This broad police-recorded signal includes property, fraud, narcotics, public-security and other categories; it is not a victimization survey, visitor risk, or a single-dimension crime rate. Thousand Islands is strongly shrunk because its small resident population and narcotics-heavy reports make the raw rate unstable. Police reporting geography, enforcement intensity and resident exposure differ from traveler exposure. No day/night differences are inferred. OpenStreetMap boundaries are for display only; not travel advice.
Locate your intended stay on the map and check whether that area has evidence.
Read what drives the local differences. A citywide score and an area estimate answer different questions.
Check current local advice and your transport options separately. These estimates cannot assess a specific hotel, street or time of day.
Citywide evidence
Personal violence
70/100
Property & scams
52/100
Getting around
40/100
Health & rescue
70/100
Conflict & stability
68/100
Disaster & environment
55/100
Infrastructure response
64/100
Batch-generated global-scale research estimates. Local signals are used when available; otherwise documented country-level baselines and official current-condition guidance provide a low-confidence first reference. Not travel advice.
Papua-specific restrictions do not describe Jakarta; does not provide a comparable Jakarta incident rate; advisory level is not an absolute safety score; U.S.-traveler perspective
country-level only; modeled perceptions rather than traveler incidents; cannot represent neighborhood variation or current events; confidence intervals must not be discarded